Reviewing KPMG's report on M&A expectations in Spain reveals a significant reactivation in this market. As inflation slows down and interest rates stabilise, we observe an increase in liquidity and a revival in M&A activities. Companies are now seeking to diversify their risks and capitalize on opportunities in a market that appears more promising.

The second half of last year already showed signs of reactivation, with significant transactions indicating alignment between buyers and sellers in their valuations. Although pricing remains a challenge in an environment of future uncertainty, increased financial stability has allowed the M&A market to start flourishing again.

In this new context, offensive M&A strategies appear to be predominant. Companies are adapting their approaches, either by centring their efforts on strengthening their core business or through the expansion into new areas and strategic divestitures. The lesson learnt in tough times is clear: moments of crisis are precisely when opportunities should be seized.

Diversification and Transformation

A highlighted strategy is diversification through acquisitions and joint ventures. This approach not only mitigates risks but also promotes sustained growth. Particularly, joint ventures enable companies to combine strengths, knowledge, and capital to address common challenges and exploit emerging opportunities, making them ideal for VUCA environments.

Financing of Transactions

Financing remains a critical pillar for M&A transactions. Even though access to financing remains a challenge, there appears to be a greater willingness from both national and foreign banks, as well as capital markets, to support these activities. Funds and private equity are also playing a role by offering financing alternatives that complement traditional approaches.

Analysis and Key Points

The slowdown of inflation and stabilization of interest rates are creating a more favourable environment for M&A, but it is the evolution of the market and the technological changes that will likely define the next era of these transactions.

First of all, digitization continues to be a fundamental catalyst. Companies across all sectors are looking to acquire technology start-ups to accelerate their digital transformation. This trend is not limited to technology companies but extends to traditional sectors such as logistics, financial services, and energy, where the need for digital innovation has become crucial.

Additionally, sustainability has become a strategic priority. With a growing focus on corporate responsibility and pressure from both consumers and regulators, companies are seeking M&A opportunities that align their operations with sustainability goals. This includes acquisitions that can improve energy efficiency, reduce carbon footprint, or integrate more sustainable business practices.

Another significant trend is the globalization of M&A transactions. Although Spanish companies continue to be active in their local market, there is increasing interest in exploring opportunities in other developing markets. This is due to the search for new sources of income and the desire to diversify geographical risks.

Finally, the role of artificial intelligence and big data analysis in M&A is growing exponentially. Advanced analytical tools allow companies to conduct deeper and more accurate assessments of the value of potential acquisitions and predict investment returns more accurately. This ability to use data to inform strategic decisions is changing the way M&A transactions are planned and executed.

At Confianz, we observe these trends and prepare to help our clients make decisions. We understand that the key to capitalizing on opportunities in such a fluid M&A environment is to maintain a well-informed and proactive strategy, ensuring that every decision is supported by a deep understanding of both macroeconomic conditions and sector-specific trends.